The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Cleveland Monsters v Grand Rapids Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Monsters (Local)

Prediction 31.41%3.18fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.844%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.19%31.51%31.41%33.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.862.853.1037.74%35.00%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 44.49%2.25fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -4.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.68%44.78%44.49%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.032.032.1452.63%49.24%49.26%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.10%4.15fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.42%23.71%24.10%25.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.763.754.0029.41%26.61%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Monsters (Local): 31.41%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 44.49%; Draw: 24.10%. For Cleveland Monsters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.62%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -7.46%E -3.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:00
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -4.19%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -10.13%E -5.02%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.76%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.57%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 20:59
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -6.39%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.66%EV -4.79%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV -9.87%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.33%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -15.47%E -8.14%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -3.61%E -0.902%K -1.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 20:58
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -10.47%E -3.67%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.23%EV -9.69%E -4.77%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 21:01
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -13.61%E -4.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.63%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 21:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -13.61%E -4.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.03%EV -12.36%E -6.27%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -14.45%E -4.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-07 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.23%EV -15.18%E -5.62%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.52%EV -16.75%E -6.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.19%EV -13.25%E -6.79%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.29%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-07 21:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.21%EV -16.75%E -6.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.68%EV -11.02%E -5.51%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.11%EV -18.07%E -5.31%K -7.53%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-07 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-03-07 20:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-07 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%7.6%2026-03-07 20:59
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%8.5%2026-03-07 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%9.0%2026-03-07 20:59
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 55.23%1.69I 59.17%NM 44.77%32.2%2026-03-07 21:05