The School of Odds
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Cleveland Monsters v Grand Rapids Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Monsters (Local)

Prediction 32.80%3.05fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.756%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%32.75%32.80%33.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.802.9838.46%35.79%35.65%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 44.43%2.25fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.86%44.79%44.43%46.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.042.052.1551.81%49.05%48.66%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.77%4.39fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%22.46%22.77%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.933.954.2027.17%25.43%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Monsters (Local): 32.80%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 44.43%; Draw: 22.77%. For Cleveland Monsters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.98, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -2.25%E -0.756%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.75%EV -8.71%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:30
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.97%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.58%E -3.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.97%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.58%E -3.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 21:05
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.97%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.58%E -3.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 21:05
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.97%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.58%E -3.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.97%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.58%E -3.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.97%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.58%E -3.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.69%E -3.19%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 23:40
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.61%EV -8.47%E -4.11%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.80%E -1.93%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 19:49
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -10.24%E -5.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-25 21:05
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.94%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 03:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -9.36%E -4.59%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -11.21%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.27%EV -14.24%E -7.38%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-26 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -11.13%E -5.57%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.94%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.84%EV -13.08%E -4.94%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.95%EV -12.02%E -6.07%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -14.63%E -3.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-26 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.84%EV -13.08%E -4.94%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.95%EV -12.02%E -6.07%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -14.63%E -3.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-26 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.31%EV -14.72%E -5.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.19%EV -12.91%E -6.59%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.50%EV -12.35%E -3.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-25 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.90%EV -14.72%E -5.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.86%EV -13.35%E -6.85%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.24%EV -16.22%E -4.41%K -6.05%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-26 22:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%5.0%2026-03-25 23:25
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-03-26 20:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-24 23:09
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%7.7%2026-03-25 21:05
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%7.7%2026-03-25 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-03-25 23:25
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%8.1%2026-03-25 21:05
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%8.2%2026-03-26 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%9.0%2026-03-25 23:30