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Chicago Wolves v Rockford IceHogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Wolves (Local)

Prediction 46.23%2.16fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.75%46.69%46.23%48.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.962.0354.05%51.47%51.02%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rockford IceHogs (Visit)

Prediction 31.38%3.19fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.88%31.17%31.38%31.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.963.003.1037.04%33.74%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.39%4.47fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -0.851%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.30%22.14%22.39%22.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.074.104.3426.32%24.59%24.39%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Wolves (Local): 46.23%; Rockford IceHogs (Visit): 31.38%; Draw: 22.39%. For Rockford IceHogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.48%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.77%EV -6.80%E -2.29%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.74%EV -2.84%E -0.655%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 09:45
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.26%EV -8.92%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -2.72%E -0.877%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39%EV -9.38%E -4.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -2.72%E -0.877%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39%EV -9.38%E -4.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -2.72%E -0.877%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39%EV -9.38%E -4.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -2.72%E -0.877%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39%EV -9.38%E -4.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -2.72%E -0.877%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39%EV -9.38%E -4.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -2.72%E -0.877%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.92%EV -9.38%E -4.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 07:54
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.05%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 07:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.43%EV -10.31%E -5.31%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.60%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 07:55
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.88%EV -11.23%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.24%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 17:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -11.23%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -12.13%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -13.81%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.75%EV -12.16%E -6.40%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.38%EV -13.08%E -4.72%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.93%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 07:54
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.43%EV -12.62%E -6.68%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.57%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.91%EV -13.08%E -6.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.96%EV -15.27%E -5.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.13%EV -12.69%E -3.25%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-21 07:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -14.47%E -7.82%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-21 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%5.1%2026-03-21 07:54
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-03-21 18:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%7.2%2026-03-21 05:25
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%7.6%2026-03-21 17:54
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%7.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%8.0%2026-03-21 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-03-21 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%8.5%2026-03-21 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-03-21 16:59