The School of Odds
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Chicago Wolves v Manitoba Moose

2026-10-27 16:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Wolves (Local)

Prediction 40.27%2.48fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%40.27%40.25%40.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.242.282.3548.78%44.63%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manitoba Moose (Visit)

Prediction 37.27%2.68fair odd
EV -4.96%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.29%37.27%37.23%37.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.502.5545.45%40.72%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.46%4.45fair odd
EV -7.45%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%22.46%22.52%23.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.984.004.1227.40%25.13%25.00%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Wolves (Local): 40.27%; Manitoba Moose (Visit): 37.27%; Draw: 22.46%. For Manitoba Moose (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.55, with an expected value of -4.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.37%E -2.28%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.96%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.89%EV -7.45%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:50
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%EV -4.96%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 05:50
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%EV -4.96%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 05:50
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%EV -4.96%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 05:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%EV -4.96%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 05:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%EV -4.96%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 05:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%EV -4.96%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 05:55
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.51%EV -9.44%E -3.88%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.51%EV -9.03%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-26 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.32%EV -8.59%E -3.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-26 05:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.23%EV -9.80%E -4.37%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.24%EV -9.81%E -4.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 05:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.76%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -10.55%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-26 05:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.25%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.21%EV -11.30%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.53%EV -11.72%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-26 05:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.86%EV -15.44%E -7.35%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.20%EV -16.14%E -7.18%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.93%EV -18.01%E -4.93%K -6.80%G +0.000%19.5%2026-10-26 05:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.35%EV -17.45%E -8.51%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.60%EV -18.01%E -8.19%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.06%EV -15.77%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%20.9%2026-10-26 05:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-10-26 06:35
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%5.3%2026-10-26 07:15
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-10-26 05:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%7.0%2026-10-26 05:59
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%7.7%2026-10-26 05:54
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%7.7%2026-10-26 05:54
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%8.3%2026-10-26 05:50
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 51.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.48%10.3%2026-10-26 05:50