Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Wolves v Manitoba Moose

2026-10-11 00:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Wolves (Local)

Prediction 44.42%2.25fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.92%44.94%44.42%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.1552.63%49.72%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manitoba Moose (Visit)

Prediction 32.97%3.03fair odd
EV -5.06%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%32.68%33.00%33.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.832.8838.46%35.84%35.40%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.61%4.42fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -0.836%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%22.38%22.59%22.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.154.3026.67%24.23%24.10%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Wolves (Local): 44.42%; Manitoba Moose (Visit): 32.97%; Draw: 22.61%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -2.76%; they do not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.25%EV -4.50%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -5.72%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.92%EV -7.16%E -3.43%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.14%EV -8.68%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -7.61%E -3.66%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.53%EV -9.83%E -4.84%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -2.76%E -0.642%K -0.836%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -2.76%E -0.642%K -0.836%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -2.76%E -0.642%K -0.836%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -2.76%E -0.642%K -0.836%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -2.76%E -0.642%K -0.836%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -2.76%E -0.642%K -0.836%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.87%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.27%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.03%EV -11.65%E -4.35%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.70%EV -13.83%E -7.13%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.35%EV -14.29%E -5.50%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.95%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.18%EV -13.83%E -7.13%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.96%EV -14.29%E -5.50%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -15.20%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -15.60%E -8.21%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-10-10 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%5.3%2026-10-10 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%7.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%9.4%2026-10-10 14:00