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Chicago Wolves v Manitoba Moose

2026-11-15 21:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Wolves (Local)

Prediction 37.74%2.65fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.27%37.83%37.74%38.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.5345.45%41.88%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manitoba Moose (Visit)

Prediction 39.52%2.53fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.85%39.44%39.52%39.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4347.62%43.91%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.74%4.40fair odd
EV -6.77%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%22.73%22.74%23.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.953.984.1027.40%25.29%25.13%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Wolves (Local): 37.74%; Manitoba Moose (Visit): 39.52%; Draw: 22.74%. For Manitoba Moose (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.43, with an expected value of -3.97%; they do not produce positive expected value.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.31%EV -4.52%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.85%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.84%EV -9.95%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -7.13%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 21:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.80%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 09:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.80%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 09:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.80%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.80%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 09:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.59%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -9.89%E -4.34%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -10.18%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-14 09:24
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -14.72%E -3.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-14 09:33
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.55%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 39.54%EV -10.68%E -4.73%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.31%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-14 09:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.33%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.16%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -9.04%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-14 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.20%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.90%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-14 09:30
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.50%EV -12.44%E -5.36%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.91%EV -13.85%E -6.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -12.45%E -3.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-11-14 09:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -15.09%E -6.71%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.30%EV -15.03%E -6.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.15%EV -17.00%E -4.66%K -6.41%G +0.000%18.4%2026-11-14 21:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.85%EV -16.97%E -7.72%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.65%EV -17.01%E -8.10%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -15.86%E -4.29%K -5.87%G +0.000%20.1%2026-11-14 09:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%7.6%2026-11-14 09:24
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%7.6%2026-11-14 09:24
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-11-14 09:25
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 47.23%1.28I 78.13%NM 52.77%48.1%2026-11-15 00:45

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