The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Chicago Wolves v Grand Rapids Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Wolves (Local)

Prediction 28.02%3.57fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%27.83%28.02%29.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.153.4233.33%31.47%31.75%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 49.73%2.01fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.20%49.96%49.73%51.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.861.9657.14%53.70%53.76%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.25%4.49fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -0.819%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.40%22.21%22.25%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.784.033.954.3726.46%24.84%25.32%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Wolves (Local): 28.02%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 49.73%; Draw: 22.25%. For Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.96, with an expected value of -2.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.57%EV -4.17%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.70%EV -7.50%E -4.03%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.73%EV -3.43%E -0.790%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 07:00
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.40%EV -2.76%E -0.632%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.10%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 13:10
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 08:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.41%EV -9.49%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 08:20
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -11.74%E -3.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:19
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -11.74%E -3.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -11.74%E -3.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:19
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -11.74%E -3.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -11.74%E -3.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -11.74%E -3.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.74%E -3.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.49%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 08:20
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -14.54%E -4.77%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.38%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -14.33%E -3.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -14.54%E -4.77%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.02%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.54%EV -14.33%E -3.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-15 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.34%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.71%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-15 08:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.51%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.87%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.20%K -5.72%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-15 21:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-15 21:10
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%4.9%2026-03-15 08:19
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%5.3%2026-03-15 09:20
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%7.4%2026-03-15 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%7.6%2026-03-15 04:50
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%8.0%2026-03-15 06:45
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%8.0%2026-03-15 07:15
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%8.0%2026-03-15 07:15
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%8.2%2026-03-15 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%9.2%2026-03-15 08:20