The School of Odds
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Chicago Wolves v Grand Rapids Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 00:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Wolves (Local)

Prediction 34.23%2.92fair odd
EV +0.988%
Edge +0.335%
Kelly +0.507%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.49%34.23%34.22%34.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.802.892.9540.00%35.67%34.60%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 43.04%2.32fair odd
EV -7.47%
Edge -3.48%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.62%43.04%43.12%45.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.132.1550.00%47.56%47.06%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.73%4.40fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.85%22.73%22.67%24.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.794.1927.78%25.83%26.39%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Wolves (Local): 34.23%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 43.04%; Draw: 22.73%. For Chicago Wolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.988%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.988%E +0.335%K +0.507%G +0.005%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -7.90%E -3.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 05:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.988%E +0.335%K +0.507%G +0.005%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -7.90%E -3.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 05:10
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.988%E +0.335%K +0.507%G +0.005%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -7.90%E -3.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 05:10
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.988%E +0.335%K +0.507%G +0.005%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -7.90%E -3.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 05:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.988%E +0.335%K +0.507%G +0.005%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -7.90%E -3.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.988%E +0.335%K +0.507%G +0.005%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -7.90%E -3.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.988%E +0.335%K +0.507%G +0.005%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -7.90%E -3.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 05:10
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.89%EV +0.303%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -12.21%E -5.98%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.30%EV -4.76%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 23:50
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.49%EV -2.44%E -0.854%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -11.35%E -5.51%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -18.17%E -5.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-21 05:10
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.09%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.07%EV -9.20%E -4.36%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.85%EV -7.48%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 01:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.09%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -6.80%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-21 03:40
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.07%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 03:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -10.99%E -4.23%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.70%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -6.80%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 03:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.99%E -4.23%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -11.35%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 23:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.19%EV -12.02%E -4.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.94%EV -12.94%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.59%EV -14.42%E -5.77%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.24%EV -13.93%E -6.96%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -11.35%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-21 03:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%2.8%2026-05-21 23:50
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-05-21 09:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%6.3%2026-05-21 03:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-05-21 03:50
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%7.7%2026-05-21 05:10
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%7.7%2026-05-21 05:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-05-21 06:30
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%8.1%2026-05-21 05:10
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%8.2%2026-05-21 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%9.0%2026-05-21 05:10