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Charlotte Checkers v Springfield Thunderbirds

2026-10-23 23:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Checkers (Local)

Prediction 42.48%2.35fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.22%42.89%42.50%44.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.132.172.2451.02%46.98%46.08%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Springfield Thunderbirds (Visit)

Prediction 34.99%2.86fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%34.78%34.98%35.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.632.7142.55%38.72%38.02%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.53%4.44fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%22.32%22.52%23.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.034.104.2027.03%24.83%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Charlotte Checkers (Local): 42.48%; Springfield Thunderbirds (Visit): 34.99%; Draw: 22.53%. For Charlotte Checkers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.24, with an expected value of -4.84%; they do not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.17%EV -4.84%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.85%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.98%EV -7.40%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 06:10
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.22%EV -6.11%E -2.77%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 06:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -7.29%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 06:10
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.47%EV -7.81%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.47%EV -7.81%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 06:10
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.47%EV -7.81%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 06:10
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.47%EV -7.81%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 06:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.47%EV -7.81%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 06:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.47%EV -7.81%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 06:10
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 06:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -9.94%E -4.69%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.21%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 06:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.81%EV -10.78%E -5.14%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-23 06:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.53%EV -11.63%E -5.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.96%EV -11.48%E -4.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.51%EV -11.46%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 06:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -15.03%E -7.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -7.29%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 06:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.13%EV -15.03%E -7.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.10%EV -16.03%E -6.68%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.77%EV -16.64%E -4.50%K -6.16%G +0.000%18.7%2026-10-23 06:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 42.43%EV -16.73%E -8.54%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.39%EV -17.78%E -7.57%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.18%EV -15.51%E -4.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-23 06:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-10-23 06:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-10-23 06:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%6.9%2026-10-23 06:20
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%7.6%2026-10-23 06:10
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%7.6%2026-10-23 06:10
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%8.0%2026-10-23 06:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%8.8%2026-10-23 06:20
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%10.3%2026-10-23 06:10
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 49.76%1.05I 95.24%NM 50.24%89.6%2026-10-23 06:10