The School of Odds
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Charlotte Checkers v Springfield Thunderbirds

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Checkers (Local)

Prediction 49.73%2.01fair odd
EV +0.456%
Edge +0.226%
Kelly +0.447%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.11%49.78%49.73%51.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.891.902.0258.14%52.96%52.63%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Springfield Thunderbirds (Visit)

Prediction 28.50%3.51fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%28.47%28.50%30.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.113.063.3535.09%32.15%32.68%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.77%4.59fair odd
EV -6.40%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.03%21.75%21.77%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.043.954.3026.32%24.77%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Checkers (Local): 49.73%; Springfield Thunderbirds (Visit): 28.50%; Draw: 21.77%. For Charlotte Checkers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.456%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.97%EV +0.456%E +0.226%K +0.447%G +0.002%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.91%EV -12.50%E -4.07%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.12%EV -6.61%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:10
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -0.538%E -0.269%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 19:11
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -0.538%E -0.269%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 19:05
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -0.538%E -0.269%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -0.538%E -0.269%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -0.538%E -0.269%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -0.538%E -0.269%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 19:05
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.00%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 20:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.75%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:35
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.64%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.06%EV -12.47%E -7.09%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.68%EV -18.77%E -6.59%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.26%EV -17.28%E -4.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-24 21:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.38%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -17.28%E -4.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-24 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.97%EV -13.47%E -7.74%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -6.40%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -14.46%E -8.41%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.28%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -12.93%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-24 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%5.2%2026-10-24 21:01
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-10-24 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%7.2%2026-10-24 21:01
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%8.1%2026-10-24 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-10-24 19:05
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-10-24 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%8.5%2026-10-24 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%9.0%2026-10-24 21:01
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 65.47%2.56I 39.06%NM 34.53%13.1%2026-10-24 22:00