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Charlotte Checkers v Lehigh Valley Phantoms

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Checkers (Local)

Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.10%45.53%44.88%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.062.082.1953.48%48.43%48.08%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit)

Prediction 32.52%3.07fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.85%32.15%32.52%33.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.802.9038.46%36.16%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.60%4.42fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.30%22.32%22.60%23.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.973.954.2527.03%25.18%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Checkers (Local): 44.88%; Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit): 32.52%; Draw: 22.60%. For Charlotte Checkers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.19, with an expected value of -1.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.10%EV -1.72%E -0.787%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.19%EV -8.01%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:59
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:00
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:00
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.33%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.15%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:59
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.45%EV -7.56%E -3.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -3.94%E -0.928%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.52%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -5.07%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:00
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -15.44%E -5.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -16.37%E -4.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-22 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.34%EV -12.04%E -6.15%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.79%EV -13.81%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.18%EV -12.94%E -6.67%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.96%EV -15.44%E -5.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -15.24%E -4.07%K -5.54%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-22 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -16.08%E -8.60%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -5.07%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%5.0%2026-03-22 16:59
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%5.3%2026-03-22 16:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-22 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-22 17:00
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-22 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%7.9%2026-03-22 16:59
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%8.0%2026-03-22 16:46
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%8.3%2026-03-22 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%9.0%2026-03-22 16:59
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 43.75%1.47I 68.03%NM 56.25%20.9%2026-03-22 17:00