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Charlotte Checkers v Lehigh Valley Phantoms

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 17:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Checkers (Local)

Prediction 52.93%1.89fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.25%53.05%53.22%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.751.761.8161.73%57.20%56.82%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit)

Prediction 25.60%3.91fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%25.56%25.45%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.553.7530.77%28.51%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.47%4.66fair odd
EV -0.385%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.106%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.89%21.40%21.33%22.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.164.104.6425.32%24.03%24.39%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Checkers (Local): 52.93%; Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit): 25.60%; Draw: 21.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.64, with an expected value of -0.385%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -11.98%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 06:30
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -11.98%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 06:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -11.98%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 06:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -11.98%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 06:30
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -11.98%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 06:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -11.98%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 06:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -11.98%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 06:30
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 17:00
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.05%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.83%EV -10.90%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.12%EV -0.385%E -0.083%K -0.106%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.38%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.99%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:01
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -7.38%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 06:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.61%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.02%E -5.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 17:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.40%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -15.51%E -4.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.09%EV -10.90%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.20%EV -12.14%E -7.31%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -16.79%E -5.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.14%EV -11.98%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-19 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.20%EV -12.14%E -7.31%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.87%EV -14.23%E -4.25%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.94%EV -15.20%E -3.85%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-19 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -14.26%E -8.80%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.969%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%5.1%2026-04-19 16:30
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-04-19 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-04-19 05:14
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-04-19 06:29
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-04-19 06:30
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-04-19 06:30
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%8.3%2026-04-19 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%8.9%2026-04-19 16:50
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 66.14%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.86%18.1%2026-04-19 17:00