The School of Odds
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Charlotte Checkers v Hartford Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 22:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Checkers (Local)

Prediction 35.52%2.81fair odd
EV -5.86%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.97%35.64%35.40%38.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.472.432.6541.67%40.54%41.15%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 42.22%2.37fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.896%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.67%42.03%42.38%43.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.4250.00%45.57%45.45%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.26%4.49fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.43%22.33%22.21%22.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.204.2526.67%24.29%23.81%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Checkers (Local): 35.52%; Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit): 42.22%; Draw: 22.26%. For Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.67%EV -14.03%E -5.80%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.67%EV +2.17%E +0.896%K +1.53%G +0.033%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.66%EV -8.08%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 21:59
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.91%EV -13.68%E -5.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 21:10
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.91%EV -13.68%E -5.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 21:10
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.91%EV -13.68%E -5.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.91%EV -13.68%E -5.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.91%EV -13.68%E -5.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.91%EV -13.68%E -5.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -12.96%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.12%E -3.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.20%E -3.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.86%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -7.96%E -3.65%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 14:15
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.23%E -4.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 42.70%EV -10.92%E -5.18%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.34%E -5.40%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.27%EV -14.74%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.85%EV -12.19%E -5.86%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 21.87%EV -11.42%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-17 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -14.74%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -15.56%E -7.78%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.21%EV -14.74%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.25%EV -15.56%E -7.78%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -16.54%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-17 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-10-17 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-10-17 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%7.1%2026-10-17 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%7.3%2026-10-17 21:10
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%7.3%2026-10-17 21:10
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%8.2%2026-10-17 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%9.1%2026-10-17 21:15
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 50.37%1.35I 74.07%NM 49.63%49.3%2026-10-17 22:05