The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Charlotte Checkers v Hartford Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Checkers (Local)

Prediction 49.75%2.01fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.34%50.13%49.75%51.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.861.831.9658.14%53.83%54.64%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV -0.221%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.087%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.27%27.82%28.27%29.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.183.153.5333.90%31.46%31.75%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.99%4.55fair odd
EV -6.56%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%22.05%21.99%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.044.004.2526.32%24.76%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Checkers (Local): 49.75%; Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit): 28.27%; Draw: 21.99%. For Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.53, with an expected value of -0.221%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.49%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.46%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 23:14
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -2.99%E -1.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -2.99%E -1.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -2.99%E -1.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -2.99%E -1.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -2.99%E -1.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.52%EV -5.98%E -3.16%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -13.79%E -4.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -6.97%E -3.73%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 19:20
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -8.96%E -4.90%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.54%EV -0.221%E -0.063%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.26%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 04:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -8.96%E -4.90%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.55%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-18 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.46%E -5.20%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-18 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.46%EV -9.46%E -5.20%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.86%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 19:20
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -9.96%E -5.50%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.29%EV -4.74%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -11.95%E -6.75%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -13.79%E -4.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-18 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.10%EV -12.44%E -7.07%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -16.62%E -5.63%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.60%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-18 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.83%EV -12.94%E -7.39%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.68%EV -15.77%E -5.29%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.49%EV -16.45%E -4.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-18 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -14.43%E -8.39%K -20.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -9.86%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-03-18 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%4.9%2026-03-18 06:00
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-03-18 22:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-18 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-18 22:45
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%7.8%2026-03-18 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-03-16 23:15
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-03-16 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-03-16 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%9.2%2026-03-18 22:45