The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Charlotte Checkers v Bridgeport Islanders

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Checkers (Local)

Prediction 50.04%2.00fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.79%50.12%50.04%51.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.57%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bridgeport Islanders (Visit)

Prediction 29.01%3.45fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.86%28.88%29.01%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.143.203.3035.09%31.90%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.95%4.77fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%20.99%20.95%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.984.254.284.5125.13%23.51%23.39%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Checkers (Local): 50.04%; Bridgeport Islanders (Visit): 29.01%; Draw: 20.95%. For Bridgeport Islanders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -4.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -4.92%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.91%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 11:20
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -5.42%E -2.87%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -14.09%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.71%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 07:24
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -14.09%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -14.09%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 22:20
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -8.43%E -4.60%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.90%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 07:23
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.37%EV -8.43%E -4.60%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -9.90%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 07:25
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.51%EV -8.93%E -4.91%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -10.95%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 06:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.50%EV -8.93%E -4.91%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -7.81%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.10%EV -11.93%E -6.78%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.32%EV -17.33%E -6.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -12.00%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.18%EV -12.43%E -7.10%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -9.90%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 07:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.79%EV -12.43%E -7.10%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 29.75%EV -16.75%E -5.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -4.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-14 21:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%3.2%2026-03-14 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%5.3%2026-03-14 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%5.4%2026-03-12 22:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%7.4%2026-03-11 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%7.6%2026-03-14 01:34
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%8.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%8.2%2026-03-14 01:40
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%8.2%2026-03-14 01:40
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%8.5%2026-03-14 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%9.2%2026-03-14 06:40