Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Wranglers v San Jose Barracuda

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

30%

48%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Wranglers (Local)

Prediction 30.02%3.33fair odd

EV -4.84%

Edge -1.53%

Kelly -2.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.83%29.76%30.02%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.853.003.003.1735.09%33.32%33.33%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Barracuda (Visit)

Prediction 47.56%2.10fair odd

EV -6.30%

Edge -3.20%

Kelly -6.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.81%47.83%47.56%48.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.891.901.9755.56%52.85%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.42%4.46fair odd

EV -2.26%

Edge -0.519%

Kelly -0.673%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.63%22.41%22.42%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.754.024.004.3626.67%24.88%25.00%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Wranglers (Local): 30.02%; San Jose Barracuda (Visit): 47.56%; Draw: 22.42%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.36, with an expected value of -2.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.17I 31.55%NM 29.53%EV -4.84%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000%	4.08I 24.51%NM 22.95%EV -8.54%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-26 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.85%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-26 01:59
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.62%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.33%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-02-26 01:58
GTbets🎯	3.09I 32.36%NM 30.51%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.86%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000%	4.36I 22.94%NM 21.63%EV -2.26%E -0.519%K -0.673%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-26 01:59
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -10.33%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-02-26 02:05
Codere (IT)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.63%E -5.07%K -10.70%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -10.33%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-02-26 02:03
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -9.63%E -5.07%K -10.70%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -8.09%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-02-26 02:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.02%EV -12.94%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 47.06%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -14.81%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-02-26 01:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 46.81%EV -12.48%E -6.79%K -14.86%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -15.94%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-02-26 02:05
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -14.44%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -14.39%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -12.57%E -3.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%	16.3%	2026-02-26 02:03

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%	4.7%	2026-02-26 02:05
Bet Right🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%	5.2%	2026-02-26 01:59
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%	6.6%	2026-02-26 02:03
William Hill🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%	7.2%	2026-02-26 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%	8.1%	2026-02-26 01:59
Smarkets◎	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%	8.3%	2026-02-26 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%	9.0%	2026-02-26 01:59
Kalshi◎	2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%	1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%	9.8%	2026-02-26 02:05