Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Wranglers v Henderson Silver Knights

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Wranglers (Local)

Prediction 35.80%2.79fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.45%35.71%35.80%38.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.522.552.6844.44%39.69%39.22%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henderson Silver Knights (Visit)

Prediction 42.10%2.38fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.54%42.21%42.10%43.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.242.3048.78%45.15%44.74%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.10%4.52fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.48%22.07%22.10%24.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.993.904.3526.67%25.04%25.64%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Wranglers (Local): 35.80%; Henderson Silver Knights (Visit): 42.10%; Draw: 22.10%. For Henderson Silver Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -3.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -4.05%E -1.51%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.66%EV -9.91%E -4.63%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -3.85%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 00:59
GTbets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -5.84%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.65%E -3.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.84%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.97%EV -6.55%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.70%EV -13.70%E -6.68%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-18 01:00
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 01:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 01:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.49%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.89%EV -9.07%E -4.20%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-18 01:00
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -17.11%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 01:00
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08%EV -12.29%E -5.02%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.58%EV -14.08%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.65%EV -13.70%E -6.68%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%EV -17.11%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-18 00:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.40%EV -15.87%E -6.75%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.11%EV -5.28%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.79%EV -19.45%E -8.64%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.54%EV -9.49%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.67%EV -17.11%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-18 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 55.50%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.50%-1.0%2026-03-18 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-03-18 01:00
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-03-18 00:59
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%7.7%2026-03-18 01:00
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%7.7%2026-03-18 01:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-03-18 01:00
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%8.0%2026-03-18 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-03-18 00:59
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%8.3%2026-03-18 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%9.1%2026-03-18 00:59