The School of Odds
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Calgary Wranglers v Henderson Silver Knights

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Wranglers (Local)

Prediction 34.77%2.88fair odd
EV -6.12%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.23%34.39%34.77%36.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.572.552.7040.82%38.86%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henderson Silver Knights (Visit)

Prediction 41.60%2.40fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%42.02%41.60%43.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.252.3048.78%45.15%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.63%4.23fair odd
EV -0.750%
Edge -0.179%
Kelly -0.234%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.86%23.60%23.63%24.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.893.904.2028.17%25.73%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Wranglers (Local): 34.77%; Henderson Silver Knights (Visit): 41.60%; Draw: 23.63%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.750%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.65%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.86%EV -0.986%E -0.235%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.48%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.23%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -14.72%E -7.18%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-19 17:09
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.10%EV -11.40%E -5.35%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -0.750%E -0.179%K -0.234%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 22:05
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -9.60%E -3.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.38%E -3.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-19 05:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.76%EV -9.60%E -3.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.46%EV -9.32%E -4.27%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-18 20:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 12:59
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 12:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 12:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.32%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -6.66%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 20:05
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.38%E -3.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -14.81%E -6.05%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.83%EV -14.72%E -7.18%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.17%EV -12.57%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-19 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.87%EV -14.81%E -6.05%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.07%EV -13.48%E -6.48%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.06%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-20 00:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%3.9%2026-03-20 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-03-19 21:55
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%5.4%2026-03-20 00:45
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%7.7%2026-03-20 00:55
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%7.7%2026-03-20 00:54
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-03-18 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-03-19 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%8.3%2026-03-20 00:55
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%8.3%2026-03-19 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%8.8%2026-03-19 16:34