Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Wranglers v Abbotsford Canucks

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Wranglers (Local)

Prediction 42.34%2.36fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.37%43.08%42.34%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.182.202.3050.76%45.85%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Abbotsford Canucks (Visit)

Prediction 34.93%2.86fair odd
EV -5.69%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.51%34.93%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.552.7042.55%39.08%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.73%4.40fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%22.41%22.73%23.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.984.004.2027.03%25.14%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Wranglers (Local): 42.34%; Abbotsford Canucks (Visit): 34.93%; Draw: 22.73%. For Calgary Wranglers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -2.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -10.93%E -4.29%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -10.93%E -4.29%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 20:04
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -10.93%E -4.29%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 20:05
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -10.93%E -4.29%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -10.93%E -4.29%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -10.93%E -4.29%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 20:05
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.36%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.99%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.65%EV -5.22%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 19:54
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.39%EV -13.37%E -5.39%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%EV -6.85%E -3.11%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.43%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 20:05
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -7.70%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.10%EV -8.48%E -3.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 16:59
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.29%EV -9.39%E -4.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.22%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-26 09:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.81%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -10.93%E -4.29%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-26 09:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.20%E -6.44%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.65%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-27 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.83%EV -13.20%E -6.44%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -14.42%E -5.89%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.17%EV -15.90%E -4.30%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-27 19:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 42.06%EV -16.17%E -8.16%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.44%EV -17.91%E -7.62%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.51%EV -15.90%E -4.30%K -5.89%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-26 09:23
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.48%EV -16.59%E -8.42%K -17.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-02-27 19:29
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%5.2%2026-02-26 07:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-02-26 19:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%6.5%2026-02-26 08:43
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-02-26 07:09
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-02-25 20:04
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-02-25 20:04
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-02-25 20:05
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-02-27 08:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-02-26 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%8.8%2026-02-26 20:04