Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Wranglers v Abbotsford Canucks

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Wranglers (Local)

Prediction 40.50%2.47fair odd
EV -6.85%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -5.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.45%40.34%40.50%41.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.272.3047.62%44.64%43.96%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Abbotsford Canucks (Visit)

Prediction 36.62%2.73fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%37.17%36.62%39.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.562.6543.48%39.42%39.06%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.492%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.10%22.49%22.88%24.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.923.854.3027.17%25.52%25.97%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Wranglers (Local): 40.50%; Abbotsford Canucks (Visit): 36.62%; Draw: 22.88%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.01%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.42%EV -5.15%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.57%EV -4.37%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 00:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -15.77%E -6.86%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -1.62%E -0.378%K -0.492%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 01:05
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -2.95%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -11.92%E -3.10%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 21:24
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -2.95%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -11.92%E -3.10%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 21:24
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -2.95%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -11.92%E -3.10%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 21:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -2.95%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -11.92%E -3.10%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -2.95%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -11.92%E -3.10%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -2.95%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -11.92%E -3.10%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 21:25
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.21%EV -8.06%E -3.55%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.40%EV -5.88%E -2.29%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.38%EV -4.37%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.69%EV -8.06%E -3.55%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.62%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 00:14
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.28%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 01:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -6.62%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -15.35%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 01:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.90%E -4.95%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 00:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.85%EV -12.92%E -6.01%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.28%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -3.91%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.50%EV -12.92%E -6.01%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -12.11%E -5.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -14.21%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 00:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -12.11%E -5.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -14.21%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.70%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.07%EV -13.21%E -5.57%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.23%EV -15.81%E -4.30%K -5.90%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-11 00:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-04-11 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-04-10 15:40
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%7.9%2026-04-10 21:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-04-09 01:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%8.1%2026-04-11 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-04-10 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%8.5%2026-04-10 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-04-11 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%9.3%2026-04-11 01:05
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 51.40%1.10I 90.91%NM 48.60%87.1%2026-04-11 00:25