The School of Odds
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Bridgeport Islanders v W-B/Scranton Penguins

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bridgeport Islanders (Local)

Prediction 28.71%3.48fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.88%28.71%28.71%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.153.3034.48%31.93%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 48.32%2.07fair odd
EV -7.23%
Edge -3.76%
Kelly -7.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.08%48.60%48.32%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.861.871.9258.14%53.85%53.48%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.97%4.35fair odd
EV +1.06%
Edge +0.242%
Kelly +0.313%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%22.69%22.97%23.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.884.174.154.4025.77%24.00%24.10%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bridgeport Islanders (Local): 28.71%; W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit): 48.32%; Draw: 22.97%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.33%EV -7.55%E -2.34%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.20%EV -7.23%E -3.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.06%E +0.242%K +0.313%G +0.003%5.9%2026-02-22 19:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -14.96%E -8.50%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV +1.06%E +0.242%K +0.313%G +0.003%10.8%2026-02-22 20:00
1xBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -9.85%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.23%E -3.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -0.084%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 19:59
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -1.23%E -0.287%K -0.373%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 20:00
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -1.23%E -0.287%K -0.373%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 19:59
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -1.23%E -0.287%K -0.373%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -1.23%E -0.287%K -0.373%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 19:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -12.43%E -4.08%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -12.43%E -4.08%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 20:00
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -12.43%E -4.08%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.60%EV -10.61%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 19:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -7.23%E -3.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 20:00
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.24%EV -16.89%E -9.82%K -23.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.88%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-22 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.45%EV -16.74%E -5.77%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.53%EV -14.96%E -8.50%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.01%EV -10.88%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-22 19:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%5.4%2026-02-22 20:00
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%5.4%2026-02-22 19:59
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%6.2%2026-02-22 19:59
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%7.1%2026-02-22 20:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%7.4%2026-02-22 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%7.6%2026-02-22 19:59
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%8.5%2026-02-22 20:00
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%8.5%2026-02-22 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%8.8%2026-02-22 20:00
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%9.7%2026-02-22 20:00