The School of Odds
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Bridgeport Islanders v Providence Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bridgeport Islanders (Local)

Prediction 27.55%3.63fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.27%27.28%27.55%28.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.323.403.4432.79%30.12%29.41%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Providence Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 50.70%1.97fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.57%50.92%50.70%51.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.841.8758.14%54.98%54.35%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.75%4.60fair odd
EV -6.25%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.40%21.80%21.75%23.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.064.004.3126.32%24.61%25.00%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bridgeport Islanders (Local): 27.55%; Providence Bruins (Visit): 50.70%; Draw: 21.75%. For Providence Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -5.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.70%EV -5.69%E -3.06%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.88%EV -6.25%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.79%EV -6.71%E -3.65%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.47%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 08:59
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.19%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.99%E -3.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:09
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.19%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.99%E -3.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.19%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.99%E -3.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:09
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.19%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.99%E -3.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.19%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.99%E -3.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.19%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.99%E -3.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:08
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -12.79%E -7.44%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -10.82%E -2.64%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 09:00
1xBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 27.73%EV -8.82%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.88%EV -6.71%E -3.65%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.82%E -2.64%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 21:54
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.74%E -4.85%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.64%E -2.06%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 08:59
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -8.23%E -4.55%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -15.17%E -3.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -9.24%E -5.16%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -10.82%E -2.64%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -9.75%E -5.48%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.64%E -2.06%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 08:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 27.83%EV -15.43%E -5.03%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 49.68%EV -12.79%E -7.44%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.49%EV -17.34%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-07 21:33
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.28%EV -15.98%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -12.79%E -7.44%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -12.99%E -3.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-07 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%5.0%2026-03-07 21:55
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%5.4%2026-03-07 21:20
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%5.8%2026-03-07 21:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%6.7%2026-03-07 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%6.7%2026-03-07 06:55
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%8.0%2026-03-07 10:24
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%8.3%2026-03-07 19:09
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%8.3%2026-03-07 19:09
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%8.3%2026-03-07 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%9.2%2026-03-07 21:30