The School of Odds
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Bridgeport Islanders v Charlotte Checkers

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bridgeport Islanders (Local)

Prediction 32.55%3.07fair odd
EV +0.580%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.277%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.54%32.22%32.55%33.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.893.0938.46%34.99%34.60%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Checkers (Visit)

Prediction 44.69%2.24fair odd
EV -7.04%
Edge -3.39%
Kelly -6.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.10%45.35%44.69%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.0853.48%50.19%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.76%4.39fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -0.789%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.30%22.44%22.76%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.684.054.104.2827.17%24.71%24.39%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bridgeport Islanders (Local): 32.55%; Charlotte Checkers (Visit): 44.69%; Draw: 22.76%. For Bridgeport Islanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.580%.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.54%EV +0.580%E +0.188%K +0.277%G +0.002%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -11.07%E -5.56%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.05%EV -2.59%E -0.605%K -0.789%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 23:54
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -3.98%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 01:10
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -3.98%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -3.98%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 01:10
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -3.98%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -3.98%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -3.98%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -5.60%E -1.93%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -16.43%E -8.79%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-25 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.26%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -7.04%E -3.39%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 23:05
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -6.26%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.45%EV -13.75%E -7.12%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-24 01:10
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.70%EV -8.53%E -3.04%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.61%EV -7.94%E -3.85%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.82%E -1.93%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 23:04
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.49%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-25 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.83%EV -10.49%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 23:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -10.49%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.40%EV -9.73%E -4.81%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-25 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.65%EV -14.72%E -5.62%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.10%EV -13.30%E -6.86%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.25%EV -16.24%E -4.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-25 23:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.16%EV -15.37%E -5.91%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.44%EV -13.30%E -6.86%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.39%EV -12.38%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-25 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%5.3%2026-02-25 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-02-25 23:05
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%6.0%2026-02-25 23:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%6.4%2026-02-25 23:53
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-02-25 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%7.6%2026-02-25 23:00
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-02-24 01:10
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-02-24 01:10
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%8.2%2026-02-25 23:55
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%8.6%2026-02-25 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%9.0%2026-02-25 23:49