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Belleville Senators v Utica Comets

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belleville Senators (Local)

Prediction 35.47%2.82fair odd
EV -6.00%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.43%35.24%35.47%38.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.492.432.6542.02%40.17%41.15%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utica Comets (Visit)

Prediction 41.58%2.40fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.750%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.58%41.63%41.58%42.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.262.3848.78%44.33%44.25%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.94%4.36fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -0.912%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%23.13%22.94%24.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.974.004.2327.03%25.17%25.00%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belleville Senators (Local): 35.47%; Utica Comets (Visit): 41.58%; Draw: 22.94%. For Utica Comets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.58%EV -5.61%E -2.47%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.80%EV -5.01%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 00:00
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -7.06%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.16%EV -7.69%E -3.46%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.12%EV -2.94%E -0.696%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 23:59
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.96%E -3.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.68%E -6.04%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -10.52%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 23:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.07%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.94%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 23:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.91%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.37%EV -9.77%E -4.50%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -9.37%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 00:00
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.80%E -5.68%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -1.03%E -0.435%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 00:00
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.80%E -5.68%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -1.03%E -0.435%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 23:59
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.80%E -5.68%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -1.03%E -0.435%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.80%E -5.68%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -1.03%E -0.435%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.80%E -5.68%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -1.03%E -0.435%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.80%E -5.68%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -1.03%E -0.435%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.89%EV -14.86%E -6.19%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.02%EV -14.76%E -7.20%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.09%EV -10.52%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-28 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -14.86%E -6.19%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.29%EV -13.93%E -6.73%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.10%EV -15.10%E -4.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-28 23:59
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -15.57%E -6.54%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -3.11%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.81%E -3.37%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.9%2026-03-01 00:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-02-28 23:59
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-03-01 00:00
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%7.2%2026-02-28 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%7.2%2026-02-28 23:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-02-28 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%8.1%2026-03-01 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-02-28 23:59
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%8.2%2026-03-01 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%9.0%2026-02-28 23:59
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%12.0%2026-03-01 00:00