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Belleville Senators v Utica Comets

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belleville Senators (Local)

Prediction 38.48%2.60fair odd
EV -5.71%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -3.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.96%38.69%38.48%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.402.4546.51%42.16%41.67%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utica Comets (Visit)

Prediction 39.01%2.56fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.96%38.76%39.01%39.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.362.382.4547.62%42.36%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.51%4.44fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.353%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.31%22.55%22.51%24.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.973.904.3926.67%25.21%25.64%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belleville Senators (Local): 38.48%; Utica Comets (Visit): 39.01%; Draw: 22.51%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.39, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -12.23%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -12.23%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 11:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -12.23%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 11:40
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -12.23%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 11:40
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -12.23%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -12.23%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -12.23%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 11:40
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.65%EV -6.87%E -2.84%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.30%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.06%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 22:59
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.07%EV -7.64%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.57%EV -7.55%E -3.18%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.36%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 23:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%EV -7.64%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.33%E -3.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -8.41%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -15.60%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 11:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.43%EV -9.95%E -4.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.09%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.91%EV -11.49%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-13 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.49%EV -12.25%E -5.37%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -12.23%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-15 22:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -8.33%E -3.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -13.35%E -3.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-15 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.62%EV -17.26%E -8.03%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.54%EV -18.08%E -8.61%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.85%EV -14.48%E -3.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-13 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-15 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-04-15 21:49
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-04-15 13:35
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%7.5%2026-04-14 07:14
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%7.5%2026-04-14 07:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-04-13 23:09
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%8.1%2026-04-15 11:05
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-04-14 07:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-04-14 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-04-14 23:10