Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 2.14
assuming max odds 4.36
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belleville Senators (Local): 33.15%; Utica Comets (Visit): 44.93%; Draw: 21.92%. For Utica Comets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -3.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.
9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.58%EV -7.00%E -3.38%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.89%EV -5.51%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.33%EV -4.19%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.25%EV -9.25%E -4.58%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -14.64%E -7.71%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.92%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.92%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.23%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -14.50%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.23%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -14.50%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.23%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -14.50%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.23%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -14.50%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.23%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -14.50%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.23%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -14.50%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.15%E -5.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.92%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.15%E -5.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -7.92%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.26%EV -8.80%E -4.33%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.31%E -3.08%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -18.89%E -5.10%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.28%EV -14.80%E -5.76%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.09%EV -12.84%E -6.62%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 22.63%EV -17.13%E -4.53%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-07 23:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.39%EV -17.12%E -6.85%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.99%EV -10.15%E -5.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -16.69%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.89% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |