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Belleville Senators v Providence Bruins

2026-11-08 00:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belleville Senators (Local)

Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd
EV -5.12%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.23%38.57%38.56%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.382.4646.51%42.75%42.02%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Providence Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 37.29%2.68fair odd
EV -5.65%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.65%37.29%37.30%37.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.452.5345.45%41.22%40.82%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV -6.33%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%24.14%24.14%24.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.713.753.8828.99%26.96%26.67%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Belleville Senators (Local): 38.57%; Providence Bruins (Visit): 37.29%; Draw: 24.14%. For Belleville Senators (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.46, with an expected value of -5.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.12%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.31%EV -5.65%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 12:50
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 12:10
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-06 12:10
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.37%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.28%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-06 12:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.70%EV -10.14%E -4.35%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.26%EV -9.76%E -4.03%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-06 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.13%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-06 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.22%EV -11.25%E -4.73%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-06 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.22%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.65%EV -11.25%E -4.73%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.57%EV -14.30%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.6%2026-11-06 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.23%EV -15.15%E -6.89%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.38%EV -16.10%E -7.15%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.38%EV -16.71%E -4.84%K -6.82%G +0.000%18.9%2026-11-06 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.59%EV -17.08%E -7.94%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.71%EV -17.96%E -8.16%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.70%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%20.5%2026-11-06 12:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%7.3%2026-11-06 12:09
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%7.3%2026-11-06 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-11-06 12:10
Kalshi◎1.08I 92.59%NM 50.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 50.00%85.2%2026-11-06 12:10