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Belleville Senators v Cleveland Monsters

2026-11-14 21:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belleville Senators (Local)

Prediction 39.91%2.51fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.690%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.11%40.32%39.91%41.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.302.5547.62%42.84%43.38%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Monsters (Visit)

Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.54%37.78%38.19%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.292.292.4948.08%43.59%43.76%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.91%4.56fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.49%21.90%21.91%22.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.104.154.2626.67%24.42%24.10%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Belleville Senators (Local): 39.91%; Cleveland Monsters (Visit): 38.19%; Draw: 21.91%. For Belleville Senators (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.55, producing a positive expected value of +1.76%.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +1.76%E +0.690%K +1.14%G +0.020%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.85%E -6.66%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +1.76%E +0.690%K +1.14%G +0.020%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.85%E -6.66%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +1.76%E +0.690%K +1.14%G +0.020%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.85%E -6.66%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +1.76%E +0.690%K +1.14%G +0.020%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.85%E -6.66%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 09:05
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.67%EV -20.57%E -9.89%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%15.4%2026-11-13 09:05
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -5.42%E -2.29%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.95%EV -4.92%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.18%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-13 09:05
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.46%EV -7.82%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.30%EV -9.12%E -3.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-13 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-13 09:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 39.86%EV -9.81%E -4.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.17%EV -9.88%E -4.19%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-13 09:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.11%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.40%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-13 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 39.88%EV -10.61%E -4.74%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.17%EV -10.65%E -4.55%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 21.95%EV -10.83%E -2.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-13 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -14.20%E -6.61%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.54%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-13 10:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.77%EV -16.20%E -7.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.96%EV -15.99%E -7.27%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.27%EV -17.84%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%19.7%2026-11-13 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.65%EV -16.20%E -7.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.73%EV -17.90%E -8.33%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.63%EV -15.65%E -4.07%K -5.49%G +0.000%20.1%2026-11-13 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%5.3%2026-11-13 11:45
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-11-13 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-11-13 09:05
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-11-13 09:05
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-11-13 09:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%7.2%2026-11-13 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%7.8%2026-11-13 09:05
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%7.8%2026-11-13 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-11-13 09:05
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%10.5%2026-11-13 09:05
Kalshi◎1.08I 92.59%NM 50.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 50.00%85.2%2026-11-13 09:05