The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Bakersfield Condors v Texas Stars

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bakersfield Condors (Local)

Prediction 48.39%2.07fair odd
EV +14.19%
Edge +6.01%
Kelly +10.44%
Growth +1.48%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.26%48.74%48.39%58.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.552.172.282.3664.52%46.08%43.86%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Stars (Visit)

Prediction 29.12%3.43fair odd
EV +31.06%
Edge +6.90%
Kelly +8.87%
Growth +2.76%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.20%28.79%29.12%37.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.772.554.5044.44%36.16%39.22%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.49%4.45fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.766%
Kelly -0.998%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.14%22.46%22.49%23.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.943.954.3028.17%25.41%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bakersfield Condors (Local): 48.39%; Texas Stars (Visit): 29.12%; Draw: 22.49%. For Texas Stars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +31.06%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -25.00%E -16.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV +31.06%E +6.90%K +8.87%G +2.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 03:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -22.10%E -13.72%K -36.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV +23.77%E +5.59%K +7.32%G +1.74%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -4.42%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-28 02:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.87%EV -25.00%E -16.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV +13.58%E +3.48%K +4.68%G +0.636%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.92%EV -11.17%E -2.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-28 02:58
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV +13.71%E +5.83%K +10.16%G +1.39%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -25.74%E -10.09%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 02:05
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +13.71%E +5.83%K +10.16%G +1.39%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -25.74%E -10.09%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 02:14
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +13.71%E +5.83%K +10.16%G +1.39%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -25.74%E -10.09%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 02:14
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +13.71%E +5.83%K +10.16%G +1.39%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -25.74%E -10.09%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 02:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +13.71%E +5.83%K +10.16%G +1.39%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -25.74%E -10.09%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 02:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +13.71%E +5.83%K +10.16%G +1.39%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -25.74%E -10.09%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 03:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +13.71%E +5.83%K +10.16%G +1.39%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -25.74%E -10.09%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 03:29
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.99%EV +14.19%E +6.01%K +10.44%G +1.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -27.19%E -10.88%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.26%EV -4.64%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 00:25
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.87%EV +7.90%E +3.54%K +6.43%G +0.508%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.90%EV -28.06%E -11.36%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-28 01:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV +10.32%E +4.53%K +8.06%G +0.832%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.68%EV -28.36%E -11.53%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-28 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.19%EV +8.87%E +3.94%K +7.10%G +0.629%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -28.65%E -11.69%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -11.17%E -2.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-27 03:10
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV +10.32%E +4.53%K +8.06%G +0.832%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -28.65%E -11.69%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.26%EV +6.45%E +2.93%K +5.38%G +0.347%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.75%EV -31.56%E -13.43%K -23.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -19.04%E -5.29%K -7.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-28 02:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.26%EV +6.45%E +2.93%K +5.38%G +0.347%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.75%EV -31.56%E -13.43%K -23.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -19.04%E -5.29%K -7.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-28 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.61%EV +1.61%E +0.768%K +1.47%G +0.024%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -34.47%E -15.32%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.43%EV -20.16%E -5.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-27 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-03-27 03:29
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-03-27 21:45
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%7.7%2026-03-27 03:30
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%7.7%2026-03-27 03:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-03-28 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%8.3%2026-03-27 02:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-03-27 02:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%9.4%2026-03-28 02:55
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 51.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.48%10.3%2026-03-27 02:14
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 50.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 49.07%85.2%2026-03-27 21:40