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Bakersfield Condors v Calgary Wranglers

2026-11-11 02:40 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bakersfield Condors (Local)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%39.26%39.86%40.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.322.332.4848.78%43.12%42.83%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Wranglers (Visit)

Prediction 37.62%2.66fair odd
EV -7.07%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.46%37.62%38.17%39.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.302.4746.51%43.22%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.12%4.33fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.541%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%23.12%21.97%25.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.954.004.2528.57%25.34%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bakersfield Condors (Local): 39.26%; Calgary Wranglers (Visit): 37.62%; Draw: 23.12%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.25, with an expected value of -1.76%; they do not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.96%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 20:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.96%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.96%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.96%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 20:35
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.31%EV -7.07%E -2.86%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -19.09%E -5.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-09 19:00
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.05%EV -8.13%E -3.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -6.38%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 20:40
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.04%EV -8.53%E -3.66%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 39.95%EV -18.73%E -8.67%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-09 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.91%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 39.86%EV -11.27%E -4.99%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.17%EV -11.21%E -4.75%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-09 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.11%EV -11.67%E -5.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.40%EV -11.58%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -2.91%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-09 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.08%EV -14.81%E -6.82%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 37.36%EV -14.59%E -6.43%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.56%EV -16.78%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%17.9%2026-11-09 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.77%EV -17.56%E -8.36%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.96%EV -17.23%E -7.83%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.27%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%19.7%2026-11-09 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.23%EV -19.52%E -9.52%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.35%EV -19.11%E -8.89%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.42%EV -11.00%E -2.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%21.3%2026-11-09 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%5.3%2026-11-09 20:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%7.0%2026-11-09 20:45
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-11-09 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-11-09 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-11-09 14:55
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%7.6%2026-11-09 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%7.6%2026-11-09 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%8.2%2026-11-09 14:55
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%10.2%2026-11-09 14:55
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%13.0%2026-11-09 21:40

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