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Bakersfield Condors v Calgary Wranglers

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bakersfield Condors (Local)

Prediction 43.74%2.29fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.58%43.98%43.74%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.102.142.2251.02%47.52%46.73%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Wranglers (Visit)

Prediction 34.19%2.93fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.06%34.19%35.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.702.7940.00%37.44%37.04%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.07%4.53fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.82%21.96%22.07%23.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.784.064.104.3426.46%24.62%24.39%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bakersfield Condors (Local): 43.74%; Calgary Wranglers (Visit): 34.19%; Draw: 22.07%. For Bakersfield Condors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -2.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.49%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.17%EV -4.22%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 01:59
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.75%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -9.40%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.92%EV -5.77%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:59
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.13%EV -5.07%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:49
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.13%EV -5.07%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.13%EV -5.07%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -6.39%E -2.98%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 01:59
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -6.39%E -2.98%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -7.69%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.04%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -6.39%E -2.98%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -7.69%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.04%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -6.39%E -2.98%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -7.69%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.04%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 01:59
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.33%EV -8.14%E -3.87%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 01:59
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.14%E -3.87%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -9.40%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -12.83%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 01:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.39%EV -9.01%E -4.33%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -9.40%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.76%EV -12.51%E -6.26%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -11.11%E -4.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -5.11%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.18%EV -13.39%E -6.76%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.20%EV -14.53%E -5.81%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.62%EV -16.58%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-22 01:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.48%EV -13.82%E -7.02%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -7.69%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 01:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.73%EV -14.26%E -7.28%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -14.53%E -5.81%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -13.93%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-22 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%2.8%2026-03-22 02:00
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-03-22 01:59
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-03-22 01:59
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%7.4%2026-03-22 01:59
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%7.4%2026-03-22 01:59
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%7.4%2026-03-22 01:59
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-03-22 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-03-22 01:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%9.4%2026-03-22 01:59