The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Bakersfield Condors v Calgary Wranglers

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 02:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bakersfield Condors (Local)

Prediction 41.30%2.42fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.83%41.18%41.33%42.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.3748.78%46.06%46.51%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Wranglers (Visit)

Prediction 37.21%2.69fair odd
EV -6.98%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.47%37.06%37.22%38.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.462.5043.48%40.92%40.65%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.49%4.65fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.312%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.08%21.76%21.45%22.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.334.324.6025.64%23.09%23.12%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bakersfield Condors (Local): 41.30%; Calgary Wranglers (Visit): 37.21%; Draw: 21.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.83%EV -2.12%E -0.895%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.22%EV -8.10%E -3.28%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -7.57%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -6.50%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 19:15
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.84%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.48%EV -9.59%E -3.95%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.72%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 01:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -9.14%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -8.65%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.14%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -16.17%E -4.15%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 22:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -9.97%E -4.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.23%EV -9.96%E -4.12%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.72%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 19:15
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.85%EV -10.79%E -5.00%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -1.12%E -0.244%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -1.12%E -0.244%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 01:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -1.12%E -0.244%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 01:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -1.12%E -0.244%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -1.12%E -0.244%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 01:50
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -1.12%E -0.244%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 01:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.94%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.70%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.42%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.19%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.21%EV -11.45%E -4.81%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -11.87%E -2.90%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-17 19:13
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -15.34%E -7.48%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -14.42%E -6.27%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.91%EV -11.87%E -2.90%K -3.83%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-17 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.37%EV -15.34%E -7.48%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.88%EV -14.42%E -6.27%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.75%EV -16.17%E -4.15%K -5.58%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-18 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%3.9%2026-10-18 01:55
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-10-17 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-10-17 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%7.1%2026-10-17 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-10-17 19:19
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-10-17 19:20
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%8.3%2026-10-17 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%8.6%2026-10-17 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%9.1%2026-10-17 19:25