The School of Odds
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Abbotsford Canucks v Coachella Valley Firebirds

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abbotsford Canucks (Local)

Prediction 30.04%3.33fair odd
EV -0.553%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.239%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.49%29.78%30.04%31.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.123.3135.71%32.64%32.05%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coachella Valley Firebirds (Visit)

Prediction 47.60%2.10fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -6.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.56%48.07%47.60%49.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.921.9755.56%52.28%52.22%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.35%4.47fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.634%
Kelly -0.823%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.96%22.16%22.35%23.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.023.954.3526.32%24.89%25.32%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abbotsford Canucks (Local): 30.04%; Coachella Valley Firebirds (Visit): 47.60%; Draw: 22.35%. For Abbotsford Canucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.31, with an expected value of -0.553%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.49%EV -0.553%E -0.167%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -9.08%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.14%EV -4.77%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 07:10
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.36%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.08%EV -6.23%E -3.16%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:44
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -5.36%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -6.70%E -3.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:44
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -5.36%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -6.70%E -3.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -5.36%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -6.70%E -3.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -5.36%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -6.70%E -3.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -5.36%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -6.70%E -3.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -5.36%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -6.70%E -3.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:44
1xBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -8.61%E -4.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -2.76%E -0.634%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -14.32%E -7.95%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 16:44
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.97%EV -9.08%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 15:50
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.08%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 08:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.56%E -5.03%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 08:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.95%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -3.88%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.20%EV -11.94%E -6.45%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 01:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.77%EV -15.88%E -5.67%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.56%EV -11.94%E -6.45%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-05 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.71%EV -15.88%E -5.67%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.24%EV -13.37%E -7.34%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -12.82%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-05 02:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-04-05 02:00
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%4.7%2026-04-04 08:19
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%5.4%2026-04-04 15:49
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%7.2%2026-04-04 08:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%7.6%2026-04-05 01:25
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%7.6%2026-04-04 15:50
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%7.6%2026-04-04 15:49
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%8.3%2026-04-04 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%8.5%2026-04-04 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%8.8%2026-04-04 15:54