Language:English
VfL Gummersbach v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VfL Gummersbach (Local)
Prediction 62.63%1.60fair odd
EV -6.68%
Edge -4.48%
Kelly -13.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.66%62.64%62.52%64.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.29%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit)
Prediction 27.66%3.62fair odd
EV -0.416%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.160%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%27.44%27.76%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.433.423.6033.90%29.12%29.24%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 9.71%10.30fair odd
EV -6.83%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -0.794%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 9.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.55%9.92%9.72%11.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.008.979.009.6012.50%11.14%11.11%10.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Gummersbach (Local): 62.63%; TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit): 27.66%; Draw: 9.71%. For TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.416%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -7.80%E -0.821%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 12:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.13%EV -7.30%E -4.94%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.58%EV -6.83%E -0.711%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.07%EV -7.30%E -4.94%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -7.80%E -0.821%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.89%EV -7.93%E -5.39%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.68%EV -8.77%E -0.933%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.89%EV -7.93%E -5.39%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.68%EV -8.77%E -0.933%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 12:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.75%EV -7.93%E -5.39%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.54%EV -12.03%E -3.78%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 9.71%EV -9.25%E -0.990%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.18%E -6.33%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.18%E -6.33%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -7.80%E -0.821%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 12:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.65%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.80%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.55%EV -6.83%E -0.711%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.64%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-27 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.36%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -22.36%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-27 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.36%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -22.36%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.36%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -22.36%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-27 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -10.44%E -7.30%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -10.44%E -7.30%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -10.44%E -7.30%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -10.44%E -7.30%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -10.44%E -7.30%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -10.44%E -7.30%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.65%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 60.66%EV -11.06%E -7.79%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.20%EV -18.40%E -6.24%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -17.50%E -2.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-27 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.37%EV -12.31%E -8.80%K -30.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -17.50%E -2.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.37%EV -12.31%E -8.80%K -30.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -17.50%E -2.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.75% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.15% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.10% | 15.1% | 2026-03-27 12:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 15:15 |