语言:简体中文
VfL Gummersbach v SC Magdeburg
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
VfL Gummersbach (主队)
预测 23.37%4.28公平赔率
EV +2.85%
优势 +0.647%
Kelly +0.837%
增长率 +0.024%
假设最高赔率为 4.40
博彩公司预测分布
20.90%23.81%23.42%29.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.924.004.4030.77%25.51%25.00%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
SC Magdeburg (客队)
预测 67.42%1.48公平赔率
EV +5.85%
优势 +3.72%
Kelly +10.26%
增长率 +0.600%
假设最高赔率为 1.57
博彩公司预测分布
60.85%67.04%67.35%70.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.351.341.5776.92%74.00%74.63%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.21%10.86公平赔率
EV +1.29%
优势 +0.117%
Kelly +0.129%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.36%9.15%9.22%11.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.759.9910.0011.0012.90%10.01%10.00%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：VfL Gummersbach (主队)：23.37%；SC Magdeburg (客队)：67.42%；平局：9.21%。 对于“SC Magdeburg (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.48。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.57，对应+5.85%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -24.03%E -7.40%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV +5.85%E +3.72%K +10.26%G +0.600% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.75%EV -9.76%E -0.996%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 08:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.66%EV -13.05%E -3.51%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.99%EV -6.29%E -4.52%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -9.76%E -0.996%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.78%EV -7.64%E -5.57%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -7.92%E -0.792%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.05%EV -8.31%E -6.11%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -3.31%E -0.316%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.05%EV -8.31%E -6.11%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -3.31%E -0.316%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.05%EV -8.31%E -6.11%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -3.31%E -0.316%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.05%EV -8.31%E -6.11%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -3.31%E -0.316%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.05%EV -8.31%E -6.11%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -3.31%E -0.316%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.05%EV -8.31%E -6.11%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -3.31%E -0.316%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.05%EV -8.31%E -6.11%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -3.31%E -0.316%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.05%EV -8.31%E -6.11%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -3.31%E -0.316%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -9.66%E -7.21%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +1.29%E +0.117%K +0.129%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -9.66%E -7.21%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +1.29%E +0.117%K +0.129%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.19%EV -16.32%E -4.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.63%EV -9.66%E -7.21%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.18%EV -28.64%E -3.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.56%EV -10.33%E -7.77%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.84%EV -17.13%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.56%EV -10.33%E -7.77%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.84%EV -17.13%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.56%EV -10.33%E -7.77%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.84%EV -17.13%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.40%EV -11.01%E -8.34%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.92%E -0.792%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.40%EV -11.01%E -8.34%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.92%E -0.792%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.73%EV -11.01%E -8.34%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -17.13%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV +2.85%E +0.647%K +0.837%G +0.024% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -12.36%E -9.51%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV +1.29%E +0.117%K +0.129%G +0.002% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.47%EV -12.36%E -9.51%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.92%E -0.792%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.62%EV -12.36%E -9.51%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -12.52%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.47% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.19% | 15.8% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:15 |