Language:English
VfL Gummersbach v Rhein-Neckar Löwen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VfL Gummersbach (Local)
Prediction 70.54%1.42fair odd
EV +0.164%
Edge +0.116%
Kelly +0.391%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.10%70.28%70.72%71.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.301.4280.00%77.54%76.92%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit)
Prediction 20.73%4.82fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.696%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.53%20.96%20.56%23.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.504.7025.00%22.74%22.22%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 8.73%11.45fair odd
EV +0.432%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.041%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.06%8.76%8.72%9.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5010.2510.0011.5010.53%9.76%10.00%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Gummersbach (Local): 70.54%; Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit): 20.73%; Draw: 8.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.432%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.10%EV +0.164%E +0.116%K +0.391%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -17.08%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -8.30%E -0.791%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-07 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.33%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV +0.432%E +0.038%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-07 11:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -3.93%E -0.358%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-07 11:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.29%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -17.08%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -3.93%E -0.358%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-05 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.29%EV -8.30%E -6.39%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -17.08%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -3.93%E -0.358%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-05 20:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.90%EV -9.01%E -6.98%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -3.93%E -0.358%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-07 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.31%EV -9.01%E -6.98%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-07 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.31%EV -9.01%E -6.98%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-07 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -9.71%E -7.59%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -2.57%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -8.30%E -0.791%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.41%EV -9.71%E -7.59%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.09%EV -5.68%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.50%EV -6.12%E -0.569%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-06 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.68%EV -10.42%E -8.20%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 21.69%EV -15.43%E -3.78%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.63%EV -10.48%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.40%EV -11.12%E -8.83%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -17.08%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -12.67%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-07 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.87%EV -11.83%E -9.46%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.93%E -0.358%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-07 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -11.83%E -9.46%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -17.03%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -11.83%E -9.46%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -17.03%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -11.83%E -9.46%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -17.03%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 19:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.31%EV -11.83%E -9.46%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.03%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-07 08:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 69.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.59% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.07% | 17.3% | 2026-06-07 11:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.82% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.18% | 7.1% | 2026-06-07 11:59 |