Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Gummersbach v HBW Balingen-Weilstetten

2026-11-01 17:00 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

69%

21%

10%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Gummersbach (Local)

Prediction 69.41%1.44fair odd

EV -5.61%

Edge -4.12%

Kelly -15.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.95%69.37%69.16%70.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.76%75.47%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Visit)

Prediction 20.80%4.81fair odd

EV -0.174%

Edge -0.036%

Kelly -0.046%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.14%20.80%20.94%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.704.234.154.8027.03%23.65%24.10%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 9.80%10.21fair odd

EV +2.85%

Edge +0.272%

Kelly +0.300%

Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.82%9.83%9.90%10.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.409.329.0010.5011.90%10.73%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VfL Gummersbach (Local): 69.41%; HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Visit): 20.80%; Draw: 9.80%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.21. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.99%E -5.22%K -20.57%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.85%E +0.272%K +0.300%G +0.009%	8.0%	2026-10-30 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.99%E -5.22%K -20.57%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.85%E +0.272%K +0.300%G +0.009%	8.0%	2026-10-30 14:00
Paddy Power🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.92%EV -9.77%E -7.52%K -32.57%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -9.95%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -2.04%E -0.204%K -0.227%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-30 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 69.28%EV -11.16%E -8.72%K -39.85%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -14.73%E -3.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.09%EV -4.49%E -0.461%K -0.514%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-10-30 13:58
Coolbet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.82%EV -8.38%E -6.35%K -26.19%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -6.94%E -0.731%K -0.817%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-30 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -9.77%E -7.52%K -32.57%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -0.174%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -11.84%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-10-30 14:00
Coral🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 67.55%EV -7.69%E -5.78%K -23.30%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -11.84%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-10-30 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 67.55%EV -7.69%E -5.78%K -23.30%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -11.84%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-10-30 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 67.02%EV -10.46%E -8.11%K -36.08%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 23.37%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 9.61%EV -11.84%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-10-30 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.37%EV -10.46%E -8.11%K -36.08%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -2.25%E -0.479%K -0.609%G +0.000%	8.80I 11.36%NM 10.32%EV -13.80%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-30 14:00
NordicBet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 66.95%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.73%E -3.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%	8.40I 11.90%NM 10.84%EV -17.72%E -2.11%K -2.39%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-30 13:59
Betsson🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 66.95%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.73%E -3.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%	8.40I 11.90%NM 10.84%EV -17.72%E -2.11%K -2.39%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-30 13:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.