The School of Odds
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TVB Stuttgart v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TVB Stuttgart (Local)

Prediction 33.30%3.00fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.31%33.37%33.29%35.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.782.802.8839.68%35.93%35.71%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit)

Prediction 55.57%1.80fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -7.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.18%55.53%55.63%57.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.631.631.7063.29%61.27%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.13%8.99fair odd
EV +0.145%
Edge +0.016%
Kelly +0.018%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.30%11.11%11.08%12.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.408.388.509.0013.51%11.94%11.76%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TVB Stuttgart (Local): 33.30%; TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit): 55.57%; Draw: 11.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.99. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.145%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -9.42%E -5.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +0.145%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 09:20
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -9.42%E -5.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +0.145%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 09:20
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -9.42%E -5.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +0.145%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -9.42%E -5.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +0.145%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 09:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -9.42%E -5.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +0.145%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 09:20
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -9.42%E -5.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +0.145%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 09:20
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -9.42%E -5.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +0.145%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 09:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -9.42%E -5.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +0.145%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -9.42%E -5.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +0.145%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.13%EV -13.08%E -5.01%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.57%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.30%EV -0.968%E -0.109%K -0.123%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 12:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.34%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -5.42%E -0.638%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.55%EV -8.86%E -5.40%K -13.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -5.42%E -0.638%K -0.723%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.85%EV -9.97%E -6.16%K -16.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -5.42%E -0.638%K -0.723%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 12:55
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.59%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.25%EV -8.20%E -0.994%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 15:15
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.02%EV -8.31%E -5.03%K -12.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -10.98%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 14:35
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.02%EV -8.31%E -5.03%K -12.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -10.98%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.63%EV -10.53%E -6.54%K -17.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -10.98%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-21 23:10
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.63%EV -10.53%E -6.54%K -17.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -10.98%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-21 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.24%EV -11.75%E -4.43%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.75%EV -12.20%E -7.72%K -21.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -10.98%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-22 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.65%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.55%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:35
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.53%E -6.54%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -16.55%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.53%E -6.54%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -16.55%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.53%E -6.54%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -16.55%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 34.18%EV -16.08%E -6.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 54.18%EV -11.64%E -7.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.64%EV -17.66%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 15:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 34.12%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.17%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.71%15.4%2026-02-22 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 15.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 37.97%1.01I 99.01%NM 46.25%114.1%2026-02-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 15.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 37.97%1.01I 99.01%NM 46.25%114.1%2026-02-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 15.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 37.97%1.01I 99.01%NM 46.25%114.1%2026-02-22 15:25