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TVB Stuttgart v TBV Lemgo

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TVB Stuttgart (Local)

Prediction 30.43%3.29fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.483%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.07%30.49%30.76%32.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.103.2535.71%32.73%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TBV Lemgo (Visit)

Prediction 59.34%1.69fair odd
EV -6.24%
Edge -3.95%
Kelly -10.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.48%59.24%59.14%64.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.531.541.5871.94%65.50%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.22%9.78fair odd
EV +27.76%
Edge +2.22%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.670%

assuming max odds 12.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.43%10.27%10.10%11.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.008.989.0012.5012.50%11.14%11.11%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TVB Stuttgart (Local): 30.43%; TBV Lemgo (Visit): 59.34%; Draw: 10.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.76%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -1.09%E -0.334%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.01%EV -13.95%E -9.62%K -31.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV +27.76%E +2.22%K +2.41%G +0.670%7.7%2026-03-27 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.38%EV -10.22%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.36%EV -17.51%E -12.60%K -44.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.26%EV +7.32%E +0.697%K +0.771%G +0.056%15.4%2026-03-27 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.59%EV -9.80%E -6.45%K -18.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -2.90%E -0.305%K -0.341%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.77%EV -9.30%E -3.12%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.16%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.58%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.08%EV -6.99%E -0.768%K -0.863%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 13:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:34
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:35
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:34
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:35
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -10.22%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.06%EV -8.61%E -5.59%K -15.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 20:40
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -10.22%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.06%EV -8.61%E -5.59%K -15.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -8.01%E -0.890%K -1.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 22:29
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -2.61%E -0.815%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -9.20%E -6.02%K -17.37%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -10.57%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 31.16%EV -13.57%E -4.78%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.61%EV -10.39%E -6.88%K -20.37%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 10.23%EV -11.59%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 20:44
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.17%EV -9.20%E -6.02%K -17.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -13.12%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 20:40
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -2.61%E -0.815%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.70%EV -12.17%E -8.22%K -25.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -18.23%E -2.28%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -2.61%E -0.815%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.70%EV -12.17%E -8.22%K -25.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -18.23%E -2.28%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 10:40
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.98%E -7.32%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.23%E -2.28%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.98%E -7.32%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.23%E -2.28%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.98%E -7.32%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.23%E -2.28%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 31.28%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.35%15.0%2026-03-27 20:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%6.3%2026-03-27 19:45