Language:English
TVB Stuttgart v SG Flensburg-Handewitt
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TVB Stuttgart (Local)
Prediction 17.47%5.73fair odd
EV +0.435%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.092%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.64%17.48%17.74%19.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.265.305.7522.73%19.03%18.87%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit)
Prediction 74.68%1.34fair odd
EV -6.65%
Edge -5.32%
Kelly -26.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.80%74.56%74.50%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.231.2584.75%82.07%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 7.86%12.73fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.145%
Kelly -0.157%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 12.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.46%7.96%7.76%8.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0011.3011.5012.5010.00%8.85%8.70%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TVB Stuttgart (Local): 17.47%; SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit): 74.68%; Draw: 7.86%. For TVB Stuttgart (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.73. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.435%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV +0.435%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -5.74%E -0.478%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 13:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV +0.435%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -11.88%E -10.07%K -66.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.59%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV +0.435%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -11.88%E -10.07%K -66.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.59%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-23 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.93%E -0.715%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -5.74%E -0.478%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 02:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.93%E -0.715%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.39%E -8.66%K -51.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -21.45%E -2.14%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-24 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.93%E -0.715%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.39%E -8.66%K -51.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -21.45%E -2.14%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-24 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.93%E -0.715%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.39%E -8.66%K -51.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -21.45%E -2.14%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-24 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.43%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -9.66%E -0.840%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.43%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -9.66%E -0.840%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.43%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -9.66%E -0.840%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.43%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -9.66%E -0.840%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.43%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -9.66%E -0.840%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.43%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -9.66%E -0.840%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.43%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -9.66%E -0.840%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.43%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -9.66%E -0.840%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.43%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -9.66%E -0.840%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -8.30%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.50%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.74%E -0.478%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 02:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.61%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -1.81%E -0.145%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 02:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.82%EV -10.05%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.02%EV -7.40%E -5.97%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.16%EV -11.63%E -1.03%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -10.39%E -8.66%K -51.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -13.59%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 02:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.45%EV -11.88%E -10.07%K -66.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.99%EV -13.59%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -14.41%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.88%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -5.74%E -0.478%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 02:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -14.41%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.88%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -5.74%E -0.478%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 02:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.02%EV -18.78%E -4.04%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.11%EV -9.64%E -7.97%K -45.90%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 7.86%EV -11.63%E -1.03%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.58%EV -23.15%E -5.26%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.80%EV -10.39%E -8.66%K -51.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.62%EV -21.45%E -2.14%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-23 02:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.12% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.65% | 15.6% | 2026-05-23 02:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |