The School of Odds
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TVB Stuttgart v Rhein-Neckar Löwen

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 17:00 UTC

Final: TVB Stuttgart 26–32 Rhein-Neckar Löwen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TVB Stuttgart (Local)

Prediction 37.93%2.64fair odd
EV +0.147%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.090%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.10%37.80%37.92%40.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.332.6445.45%42.27%42.92%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit)

Prediction 49.80%2.01fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.17%50.31%49.81%53.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.831.9257.14%54.07%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.27%8.15fair odd
EV +12.85%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.202%

assuming max odds 9.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.36%11.90%12.26%12.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.657.509.2014.29%13.07%13.33%10.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TVB Stuttgart (Local): 37.93%; Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit): 49.80%; Draw: 12.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.15. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.85%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV +0.147%E +0.056%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.54%EV -11.36%E -6.38%K -14.56%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.36%EV +12.85%E +1.40%K +1.57%G +0.202%4.9%2026-05-07 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.72%EV -12.37%E -5.36%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -8.37%E -4.55%K -9.96%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.43%EV +7.95%E +0.903%K +1.02%G +0.081%9.0%2026-05-07 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.39%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.87%E -0.233%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.39%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.87%E -0.233%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.39%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.87%E -0.233%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:25
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.39%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.87%E -0.233%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.39%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.87%E -0.233%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.39%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.87%E -0.233%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.39%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.87%E -0.233%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:25
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.39%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.87%E -0.233%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.39%E -2.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.87%E -0.233%K -0.266%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.02%EV -7.37%E -3.96%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -4.93%E -0.636%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 06:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.36%E -5.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -8.00%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 06:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.00%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 06:08
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -16.54%E -7.52%K -13.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.17%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.00%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-07 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.84%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -9.37%E -5.15%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.27%EV -9.23%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 06:10
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.84%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -9.37%E -5.15%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.27%EV -9.23%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 06:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.99%EV -11.61%E -4.98%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -11.36%E -6.38%K -14.56%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.29%EV -11.68%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-07 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -14.13%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 06:00
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.13%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-07 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.13%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-07 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.13%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-07 16:35
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -12.85%E -7.34%K -17.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -14.13%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-06 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -12.85%E -7.34%K -17.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -14.13%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-06 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.59%EV -12.35%E -7.02%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.47%EV -14.13%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-07 06:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 38.04%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.57%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%15.3%2026-05-07 06:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-05-07 16:45