Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.35
assuming max odds 4.60
assuming max odds 11.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TVB Stuttgart (Local): 68.00%; HSG Wetzlar (Visit): 21.63%; Draw: 10.37%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.64. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.11%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.25%EV -10.25%E -7.76%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +14.11%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.25%EV -10.25%E -7.76%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +14.11%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.25%EV -10.25%E -7.76%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +14.11%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.25%EV -10.25%E -7.76%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +14.11%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.25%EV -10.25%E -7.76%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +14.11%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.25%EV -10.25%E -7.76%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +14.11%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.25%EV -10.25%E -7.76%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +14.11%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.25%EV -10.25%E -7.76%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +14.11%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -10.93%E -8.34%K -35.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -0.500%E -0.109%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV +3.74%E +0.374%K +0.416%G +0.016% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 12:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.74%EV -12.97%E -10.13%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.00%EV -13.48%E -3.37%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -1.45%E -0.152%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.57%E -7.19%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.66%E -0.592%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.63%E -0.737%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.14%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.07%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -6.63%E -0.737%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.97%EV -8.89%E -6.63%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.35%EV -8.71%E -0.990%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.27%EV -8.89%E -6.63%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -6.99%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.46%EV -9.23%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 13:57 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.90%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.07%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV -9.75%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 12:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.34%EV -14.33%E -11.37%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.48%E -3.37%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.17%EV -10.25%E -7.76%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.28%EV -13.91%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.55%EV -12.86%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-05 12:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -9.57%E -7.19%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -17.01%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -9.57%E -7.19%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -17.01%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 12:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.