The School of Odds
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TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v TBV Lemgo

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local)

Prediction 50.25%1.99fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.46%50.15%50.29%50.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.851.841.9258.14%53.97%54.35%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TBV Lemgo (Visit)

Prediction 37.63%2.66fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -4.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.98%37.59%37.74%41.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.292.4846.51%42.99%43.57%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.12%8.25fair odd
EV +3.00%
Edge +0.353%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.86%12.27%11.97%13.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.807.867.908.5014.71%12.72%12.66%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local): 50.25%; TBV Lemgo (Visit): 37.63%; Draw: 12.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.25. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.10%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +3.00%E +0.353%K +0.400%G +0.012%8.3%2026-04-21 15:50
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.10%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +3.00%E +0.353%K +0.400%G +0.012%8.3%2026-04-21 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.10%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +3.00%E +0.353%K +0.400%G +0.012%8.3%2026-04-21 15:50
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.10%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +3.00%E +0.353%K +0.400%G +0.012%8.3%2026-04-21 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.10%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +3.00%E +0.353%K +0.400%G +0.012%8.3%2026-04-21 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.10%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +3.00%E +0.353%K +0.400%G +0.012%8.3%2026-04-21 15:49
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.10%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +3.00%E +0.353%K +0.400%G +0.012%8.3%2026-04-21 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.10%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +3.00%E +0.353%K +0.400%G +0.012%8.3%2026-04-21 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.10%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +3.00%E +0.353%K +0.400%G +0.012%8.3%2026-04-21 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.06%E -0.382%K -0.437%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.55%E -4.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.06%E -0.382%K -0.437%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 23:15
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.56%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.77%EV -9.30%E -3.86%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.67%EV -5.48%E -0.703%K -0.806%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 08:14
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.56%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.77%EV -9.30%E -3.86%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.67%EV -5.48%E -0.703%K -0.806%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 08:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.69%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -9.12%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 08:19
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.69%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -9.12%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.46%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.84%EV -19.09%E -8.88%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -9.12%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-21 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.29%EV -11.56%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.83%EV -11.94%E -5.10%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 11.88%EV -9.72%E -1.31%K -1.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 08:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.98%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.92%EV -13.96%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.66%EV -10.81%E -4.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.18%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.66%EV -10.81%E -4.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.18%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 49.75%EV -13.57%E -7.89%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.03%EV -15.32%E -6.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%EV -15.18%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 08:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.06%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -17.60%E -2.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.