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TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v SG Flensburg-Handewitt
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local)
Prediction 25.26%3.96fair odd
EV -0.227%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.077%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.49%25.13%25.27%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.503.9530.30%28.18%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit)
Prediction 64.31%1.56fair odd
EV -8.04%
Edge -5.62%
Kelly -18.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.49%64.46%64.21%66.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.411.421.4375.19%70.95%70.42%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 10.43%9.58fair odd
EV -0.885%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.104%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.65%10.41%10.52%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.019.009.5012.50%11.10%11.11%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local): 25.26%; SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit): 64.31%; Draw: 10.43%. For TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.95, with an expected value of -0.227%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -0.227%E -0.057%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.75%EV -10.61%E -7.63%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.885%E -0.093%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.62%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -6.10%E -0.678%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.33%EV -8.56%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV -9.23%E -1.06%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 12:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -8.68%E -6.11%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -6.10%E -0.678%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.37%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.37%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.885%E -0.093%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.885%E -0.093%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.885%E -0.093%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.885%E -0.093%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.885%E -0.093%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.885%E -0.093%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.885%E -0.093%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.885%E -0.093%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.49%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.49%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 12:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.08%EV -14.47%E -10.88%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.18%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-05 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.76%EV -10.61%E -7.63%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.55%EV -12.36%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-05 12:53 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -16.64%E -5.04%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.63%EV -11.26%E -8.16%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.76%EV -6.10%E -0.678%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.