Language:English
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v SG Flensburg-Handewitt
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local)
Prediction 29.72%3.36fair odd
EV +5.50%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.119%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%29.42%29.67%30.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.103.5534.48%32.49%32.26%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit)
Prediction 60.59%1.65fair odd
EV -6.09%
Edge -3.93%
Kelly -11.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.12%60.76%60.65%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.501.5568.03%65.94%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 9.69%10.31fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.305%
Kelly -0.339%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.52%9.82%9.68%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.008.778.5010.0012.50%11.41%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local): 29.72%; SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Visit): 60.59%; Draw: 9.69%. For TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.50%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV +5.50%E +1.55%K +2.16%G +0.119% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.05%E -0.305%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 06:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -7.90%E -0.831%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -6.38%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.88%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.90%E -0.831%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.59%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.59%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.59%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.59%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.59%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.59%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.59%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.59%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.59%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.75%EV -8.52%E -5.64%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -7.90%E -0.831%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -7.90%E -0.831%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -12.75%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.52%EV -8.52%E -5.64%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.52%EV -6.93%E -0.722%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.66%EV -8.87%E -0.943%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.66%EV -8.87%E -0.943%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.44%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-03 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.44%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-03 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.44%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.44%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.44%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.86%EV -12.33%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.12%EV -9.73%E -6.53%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -22.44%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.34%EV -13.22%E -4.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.87%EV -10.33%E -6.98%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 9.79%EV -12.26%E -1.35%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 17:47 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.35%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.87%EV -10.94%E -7.44%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -12.75%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 30.41% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.55% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.04% | 15.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.71% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 16:55 |