The School of Odds
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TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v Rhein-Neckar Löwen

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 14:31 UTC

Final: TSV Hannover-Burgdorf 32–31 Rhein-Neckar Löwen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local)

Prediction 47.02%2.13fair odd
EV +5.80%
Edge +2.58%
Kelly +4.64%
Growth +0.269%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.30%46.55%47.07%47.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.961.952.2553.19%50.93%51.28%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit)

Prediction 40.85%2.45fair odd
EV -6.04%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -4.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.01%41.54%40.59%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.182.182.3049.50%45.83%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.13%8.25fair odd
EV +9.15%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.105%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.58%11.90%12.33%12.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.857.509.0014.29%12.74%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local): 47.02%; Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit): 40.85%; Draw: 12.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.25. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.15%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV +5.80%E +2.58%K +4.64%G +0.269%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -17.48%E -8.65%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV +9.15%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.105%5.1%2026-08-30 09:10
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.09%E +0.363%K +0.412%G +0.013%8.3%2026-08-30 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.09%E +0.363%K +0.412%G +0.013%8.3%2026-08-30 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.09%E +0.363%K +0.412%G +0.013%8.3%2026-08-30 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.09%E +0.363%K +0.412%G +0.013%8.3%2026-08-30 07:50
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.09%E +0.363%K +0.412%G +0.013%8.3%2026-08-30 07:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.09%E +0.363%K +0.412%G +0.013%8.3%2026-08-30 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.09%E +0.363%K +0.412%G +0.013%8.3%2026-08-30 07:50
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.09%E +0.363%K +0.412%G +0.013%8.3%2026-08-30 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.84%E -4.00%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.04%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -9.04%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 02:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.08%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -10.13%E -4.60%K -8.44%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -0.551%E -0.067%K -0.077%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 13:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.16%EV -8.78%E -4.52%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.48%EV -7.68%E -3.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.36%EV -10.25%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 09:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.49%EV -9.25%E -4.79%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.85%EV -10.54%E -4.81%K -8.85%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV +4.30%E +0.500%K +0.566%G +0.024%9.1%2026-08-30 09:15
NordicBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.25%E -4.79%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.60%EV -8.49%E -3.79%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.29%EV -10.25%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 09:10
Betsson🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.25%E -4.79%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.60%EV -8.49%E -3.79%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.29%EV -10.25%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.70%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.60%EV -15.85%E -7.69%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -9.04%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 07:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.13%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%EV -8.09%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -15.10%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 09:10
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -10.13%E -4.60%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -15.10%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -10.13%E -4.60%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -15.10%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -10.13%E -4.60%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -15.10%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 09:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.01%EV -11.60%E -6.17%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -5.02%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.45%EV -13.89%E -1.96%K -2.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.66%EV -11.60%E -6.17%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.80%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -15.10%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 09:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 46.80%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.46%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.73%15.5%2026-08-30 09:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%5.4%2026-08-29 16:55