语言:简体中文
THW Kiel v ThSV Eisenach
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
THW Kiel (主队)
预测 84.63%1.18公平赔率
EV -6.06%
优势 -5.46%
Kelly -55.08%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.11
博彩公司预测分布
81.27%84.57%84.79%86.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.081.081.1194.34%92.20%92.59%90.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
ThSV Eisenach (客队)
预测 9.48%10.55公平赔率
EV +13.73%
优势 +1.14%
Kelly +1.25%
增长率 +0.171%
假设最高赔率为 12.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.65%9.44%9.39%11.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.509.469.1012.0013.33%10.57%10.99%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 5.89%16.97公平赔率
EV +1.63%
优势 +0.094%
Kelly +0.100%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 17.25
博彩公司预测分布
5.22%5.99%5.82%7.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.5014.7414.0017.258.00%6.78%7.14%5.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：THW Kiel (主队)：84.63%；ThSV Eisenach (客队)：9.48%；平局：5.89%。 对于“ThSV Eisenach (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.55。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.00，对应+13.73%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.90%EV -10.29%E -9.71%K -171.51%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +13.73%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.171% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +0.154%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.90%EV -10.29%E -9.71%K -171.51%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +13.73%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.171% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +0.154%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.61%EV -10.29%E -9.71%K -171.51%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV +13.73%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.171% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.74%E -0.359%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.79%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV +4.25%E +0.386%K +0.425%G +0.018% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -5.74%E -0.359%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.69%EV -10.29%E -9.71%K -171.51%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV +4.25%E +0.386%K +0.425%G +0.018% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -11.63%E -0.775%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.488%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +0.154%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.488%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +0.154%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 02:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.07%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -5.23%E -0.523%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.74%E -0.359%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.42%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.50%EV -9.02%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -11.63%E -0.775%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.42%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.50%EV -9.02%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -11.63%E -0.775%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -10.29%E -9.71%K -171.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -9.97%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -23.41%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-03 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -10.29%E -9.71%K -171.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -9.97%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -23.41%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-03 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -10.29%E -9.71%K -171.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -9.97%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -23.41%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-03 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.35%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.06%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV -17.55%E -2.02%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.11%EV -11.63%E -0.775%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.52%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.52%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.52%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.52%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.52%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.52%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.52%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.52%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.52%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.18%EV -9.44%E -8.83%K -134.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -19.44%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 17.25I 5.80%NM 5.22%EV +1.63%E +0.094%K +0.100%G +0.002% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 82.15%EV -10.29%E -9.71%K -171.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -24.18%E -3.02%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.97%EV -26.36%E -2.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-03 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 81.27%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -28.92%E -3.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -26.36%E -2.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-03 09:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 81.68% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.10% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.22% | 15.5% | 2026-04-03 15:15 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.83% | 7.72I 12.95%NM 12.17% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |