語言:繁體中文
THW Kiel v TBV Lemgo
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
THW Kiel (主隊)
預測 58.74%1.70公平賠率
EV -1.90%
優勢 -1.14%
Kelly -2.84%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.67
博彩公司預測分布
55.30%58.78%58.76%60.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.501.591.561.6766.67%62.99%64.10%59.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值
TBV Lemgo (客隊)
預測 30.28%3.30公平賠率
EV -3.11%
優勢 -0.971%
Kelly -1.41%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 3.20
博彩公司預測分布
28.72%30.41%30.23%33.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.632.912.903.2038.02%34.39%34.48%31.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 10.98%9.11公平賠率
EV +4.31%
優勢 +0.454%
Kelly +0.508%
成長率 +0.022%
假設最高賠率為 9.50
博彩公司預測分布
9.97%10.81%11.01%11.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.508.298.509.5013.33%12.07%11.76%10.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：THW Kiel (主隊)：58.74%；TBV Lemgo (客隊)：30.28%；和局：10.98%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於9.11的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為9.50，對應+4.31%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（2 個賽果，而分析採用 3 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.70%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV +4.31%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022% | 5.0% | 2026-06-07 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.41%EV -7.78%E -4.95%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.97%EV +1.02%E +0.111%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 9.0% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -8.37%E -5.36%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -8.95%E -5.78%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-07 01:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%EV -10.71%E -7.05%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -3.11%E -0.971%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.08%EV -9.54%E -6.19%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.09%EV -9.96%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.08%EV -9.54%E -6.19%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.09%EV -9.96%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.35%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -12.80%E -4.44%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -12.80%E -4.44%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.30%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -20.37%E -7.74%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-07 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.64%EV -11.30%E -7.48%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.35%EV -14.35%E -1.84%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -11.89%E -7.93%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.31%EV -14.90%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-07 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -17.65%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -11.89%E -7.93%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -17.65%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-05 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -11.89%E -7.93%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -17.65%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-05 22:30 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.36% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.44% | 15.0% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 21:39 |