语言:简体中文
THW Kiel v TBV Lemgo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
THW Kiel (主队)
预测 58.74%1.70公平赔率
EV -1.90%
优势 -1.14%
Kelly -2.84%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.67
博彩公司预测分布
55.30%58.78%58.76%60.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.591.561.6766.67%62.99%64.10%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
TBV Lemgo (客队)
预测 30.28%3.30公平赔率
EV -3.11%
优势 -0.971%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
28.72%30.41%30.23%33.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.912.903.2038.02%34.39%34.48%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 10.98%9.11公平赔率
EV +4.31%
优势 +0.454%
Kelly +0.508%
增长率 +0.022%
假设最高赔率为 9.50
博彩公司预测分布
9.97%10.81%11.01%11.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.298.509.5013.33%12.07%11.76%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：THW Kiel (主队)：58.74%；TBV Lemgo (客队)：30.28%；平局：10.98%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.11。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.50，对应+4.31%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.70%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV +4.31%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022% | 5.0% | 2026-06-07 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.41%EV -7.78%E -4.95%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.97%EV +1.02%E +0.111%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 9.0% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -8.37%E -5.36%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -8.95%E -5.78%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-07 01:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%EV -10.71%E -7.05%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -3.11%E -0.971%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.08%EV -9.54%E -6.19%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.09%EV -9.96%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.08%EV -9.54%E -6.19%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.09%EV -9.96%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.35%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -12.80%E -4.44%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -12.80%E -4.44%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.30%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -20.37%E -7.74%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-07 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.64%EV -11.30%E -7.48%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.35%EV -14.35%E -1.84%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-07 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -11.89%E -7.93%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.31%EV -14.90%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-07 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -17.65%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -11.89%E -7.93%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -17.65%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-05 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -11.89%E -7.93%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -17.65%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-05 22:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.36% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.44% | 15.0% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 21:39 |