語言:繁體中文
THW Kiel v SG Flensburg-Handewitt
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
THW Kiel (主隊)
預測 51.27%1.95公平賠率
EV -4.63%
優勢 -2.49%
Kelly -5.38%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.86
博彩公司預測分布
50.09%51.31%51.16%53.62%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.671.791.791.8659.88%55.82%55.87%53.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (客隊)
預測 36.77%2.72公平賠率
EV -4.39%
優勢 -1.69%
Kelly -2.74%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.60
博彩公司預測分布
34.44%36.84%36.90%38.87%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.302.452.452.6043.48%40.75%40.82%38.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 11.95%8.37公平賠率
EV +5.19%
優勢 +0.589%
Kelly +0.665%
成長率 +0.034%
假設最高賠率為 8.80
博彩公司預測分布
10.42%11.85%11.94%12.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.007.907.808.8014.29%12.65%12.82%11.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：THW Kiel (主隊)：51.27%；SG Flensburg-Handewitt (客隊)：36.77%；和局：11.95%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於8.37的公平十進位賠率。 當時有10家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為8.80，對應+5.19%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（2 個賽果，而分析採用 3 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.52%EV -8.73%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.05%EV -11.38%E -4.72%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.42%EV +5.19%E +0.589%K +0.665%G +0.034% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.15%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +1.60%E +0.188%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 07:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.15%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +1.60%E +0.188%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.15%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +1.60%E +0.188%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.29%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.76%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +1.60%E +0.188%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.29%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.76%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +1.60%E +0.188%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.29%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.76%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +1.60%E +0.188%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.29%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.76%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +1.60%E +0.188%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.29%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.76%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +1.60%E +0.188%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.29%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.76%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +1.60%E +0.188%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.48%EV -5.66%E -3.07%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.91%EV -9.91%E -4.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.38%E -0.547%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.02%EV -6.23%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -4.38%E -0.547%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 04:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.25%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -8.80%E -3.55%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.77%E -0.868%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 04:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -8.73%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -6.23%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -7.37%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.73%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.96%EV -9.54%E -3.88%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.96%EV -9.16%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.73%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.96%EV -9.54%E -3.88%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.96%EV -9.16%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -10.35%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 04:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -10.35%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.62%EV -14.37%E -8.61%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -4.39%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -10.35%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-12 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.62%EV -14.37%E -8.61%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -4.39%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -10.35%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-12 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -10.78%E -6.20%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.02%EV -12.11%E -5.07%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.12%EV -12.74%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-14 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.09%EV -10.78%E -6.20%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -15.42%E -6.70%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.02%EV -13.34%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 03:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.57%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -16.33%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.57%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -16.33%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.57%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -16.33%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 18:55 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.63% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.37% | 15.5% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 28.29% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 22.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 49.31% | 86.0% | 2026-03-14 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 28.29% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 22.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 49.31% | 86.0% | 2026-03-14 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 28.29% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 22.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 49.31% | 86.0% | 2026-03-14 18:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 18:40 |