语言:简体中文
THW Kiel v Füchse Berlin
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
THW Kiel (主队)
预测 24.02%4.16公平赔率
EV -1.51%
优势 -0.367%
Kelly -0.486%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
22.49%24.00%24.12%25.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.883.904.1028.57%25.77%25.64%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
Füchse Berlin (客队)
预测 66.80%1.50公平赔率
EV -6.47%
优势 -4.62%
Kelly -16.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
64.29%66.83%66.73%68.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.351.351.4077.52%73.86%74.07%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.17%10.90公平赔率
EV +0.906%
优势 +0.082%
Kelly +0.091%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.36%9.17%9.16%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.009.8210.0011.0011.11%10.18%10.00%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：THW Kiel (主队)：24.02%；Füchse Berlin (客队)：66.80%；平局：9.17%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.90。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.00，对应+0.906%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.08%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV +0.906%E +0.082%K +0.091%G +0.001% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.33%EV -7.81%E -5.66%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -3.68%E -0.351%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.07%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.68%E -0.351%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 12:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.51%E -0.367%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.51%E -0.367%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.51%E -0.367%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.51%E -0.367%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.51%E -0.367%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.51%E -0.367%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.51%E -0.367%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.51%E -0.367%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.51%E -0.367%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.39%EV -9.67%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.44%EV -7.81%E -5.66%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 12:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.78%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 12:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -11.15%E -8.38%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -8.27%E -0.827%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -7.81%E -5.66%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -12.85%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 11:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.85%EV -10.48%E -7.82%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -12.85%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.19%EV -13.82%E -10.72%K -47.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -12.85%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 11:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.29%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -17.44%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.29%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -17.44%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 23:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.56%EV -11.15%E -8.38%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.84%EV -17.44%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.56%EV -11.15%E -8.38%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.84%EV -17.44%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.56%EV -11.15%E -8.38%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.84%EV -17.44%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 11:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.07% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.53% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.40% | 15.6% | 2026-05-10 12:40 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.10% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.90% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 12:49 |